Tuesday, December 6

NASCAR Darlington 2022 odds, start time, TV channel: Model’s surprising Goodyear 400 picks, predictions


Darlington Raceway has been a staple on the NASCAR Cup Series schedule since 1950. However, NASCAR drivers will have to make adjustments when they head to the iconic venue for the first time in the “Next-Gen” car at the 2022 Goodyear 400 on Sunday. The redesigned car has produced nine different winners through 11 races entering NASCAR Darlington, but Hendrick Motorsports has gotten all four drivers into victory lane for five total wins. The 2022 NASCAR Darlington green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET on FS1 (stream now on FuboTV).

Kyle Larson is last among Hendrick drivers in the NASCAR standings, but the defending series champion is still the 4-1 favorite in the 2022 Goodyear 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Chase Elliott is coming off his first win of the season last week and is 7-1, while William Byron (12-1) and Alex Bowman (15-1) are both 2022 NASCAR at Darlington contenders. Before scouring the 2022 Goodyear 400 starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Darlington predictions, be sure to see the latest 2022 NASCAR at Darlington picks from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. Then, it called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout. McClure’s model also called Larson’s win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship.

In total, it nailed five of Larson’s wins during a historic season and has also gone 14-9 on its head-to-head matchup predictions to start the 2022 season. Earlier this season it was high on Ross Chastain to win in Austin, giving him a far better shot to win than his 40-1 odds implied. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw huge returns on their NASCAR picks.

Now, the model simulated the 2022 NASCAR in Darlington 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2022 Goodyear 400 leaderboard.

Top 2022 Goodyear 400 predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Kevin Harvick, even though he’s a 15-1 long shot in the latest 2022 NASCAR at Darlington odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Harvick is hoping that his experience at Darlington can help jumpstart his team’s season and end a 54-race winless drought.

Harvick is a 58-time NASCAR Cup Series winner (10th all-time) with a trio of victories at Darlington Raceway. He won two of the three races at Darlington when NASCAR returned to action after the coronavirus shutdown in 2020 and hasn’t finished outside the top 10 at “The Lady in Black” since 2012. He’s led at least 10 laps in nine of his last 10 starts there and he’s a strong bet to work his way towards the front again on Sunday, according to the model.

And a massive shocker: Chase Elliott, one of the Vegas favorites at 7-1, stumbles big time and barely cracks the top 10. There are far better values in the 2022 Goodyear 400 starting grid. Elliott had been leading the NASCAR standings most of the season and finally earned a victory last week at Dover to extend his lead to 50 points over Ryan Blaney.

However, Darlington Raceway has presented some challenges to Elliott throughout his career in the NASCAR Cup Series, particularly of late. Elliott has finished 20th or worse in three of his last four starts at Darlington and he has finished outside the top 10 in six of his 10 career starts there while only leading laps in three of those races.

How to make 2022 NASCAR Darlington picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Darlington odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Goodyear 400 2022? And which long shots make a run at the checkered flag? Check out the latest 2022 NASCAR at Darlington odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2022 Goodyear 400 leaderboard, all from the model that correctly predicted five of Kyle Larson’s wins last season. 

2022 Goodyear 400 odds

Kyle Larson 4-1
Martin Truex Jr. 6-1
Denny Hamlin 7-1
Chase Elliott 7-1
Kyle Busch 17-2
Ross Chastain 10-1
William Byron 12-1
Ryan Blaney 12-1
Joey Logano 15-1
Kevin Harvick 15-1
Alex Bowman 15-1
Tyler Reddick 22-1
Kurt Busch 30-1
Christopher Bell 30-1
Daniel Suarez 40-1
Chase Briscoe 40-1
Erik Jones 50-1
Austin Cindric 50-1
Brad Keselowski 60-1
Austin Dillon 60-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
Daniel Hemric 100-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Bubba Wallace 125-1
Chris Buescher 125-1
Cole Custer 125-1
Justin Haley 150-1
Harrison Burton 500-1
Ty Dillon 500-1
Corey Lajoie 1000-1
Michael McDowell 1000-1
Todd Gilliland 1000-1
JJ Yeley 5000-1
Cody Ware 5000-1
Josh Bilicki 5000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1





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